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So I’m watching the market chop around like a fish on deck, and something’s bugging me about how everyone’s approaching this volatility.
Momentum squeezes need sideways action with lower volatility to build up steam. What we’ve got? High volatility, wide-range chop. Not exactly prime hunting grounds for the setups most traders are chasing.
The Real Opportunity
With NVIDIA earnings and OPEX this week, we’ll probably just hang out in this messy range through Wednesday. The SPY’s bouncing between major support and that gap-close area – call it a 10-point playground.
But some solid names have gotten hammered during this broad selling. When good companies get beaten down because everything’s getting sold? That’s when you think bounce plays.
Case Study: HIMS
Take HIMS & Hers. Walking down with the market, but the company isn’t broken just because indexes can’t figure out what they want to do.
The chart’s getting gnarly. Pretty ugly. And at some point, that becomes exactly what you want for a bounce setup.
My Approach
I’ve positioned for part of this move – bought one piece near recent lows. If we get what looks like a bounce forming, I’ll add the second half. Averaging into strength beats hoping and praying.
Plus, I’ve bought time on my call options, which expire in February 2026. No weekly lottery ticket here.
If I add that second piece, my cost basis drops significantly. Then I can set a stop that gives the trade room to breathe while protecting capital.
Scan for quality names caught in this mess. Companies with solid fundamentals in the wrong place when selling started.
Look for names near key support levels. Ask: Is this broken, or just beaten up by association?
In my experience, beaten up by association sets up some of the best bounce trades.
Your Action Plan
This week, patience is your buddy. Let oversold names find footing. When they start bouncing? Get aggressive.
HIMS might work, might not. But sometimes the best trade isn’t what everyone’s talking about. It’s what nobody wants to touch.
We’ll see what happens.