S&P 500 (ES)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 1: Just when the markets lull you into BTFD as a matter of daily routine, thinking “this is just another fantastic buying opportunity!” and your risk-assessment guard has been lowered. Then BOOOOM! a long-forgotten TRUMP TARRIFF BOMB (TTB) hits the tape on a FRYday no less, sending markets in a -2.7% tail-spin.
***NOTE: There is a reason PTG refers to FRYday as CAPITAL PRESERVATION DAY.
The S&P 500 declined by 2.7% on Friday, October 10, 2025, falling 182.60 points to close at 6,552.51. This was the index’s worst day since April 2025, driven by concerns over a potential “massive increase” in tariffs on Chinese goods, reports from Yahoo Finance
Range was 266 handles on 2.452M contracts exchanged
For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 10.10.25 link.
…Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2
Transition into Cycle Day 2: Normally for CD2 we are anticipating some consolidation MATD rhythms to begin the session. BUT current action is abhorrent, so we’ll need to stay laser focused with risk-management.
Expect elevated volatility (i.e. wide swings) until the markets absorb the recent information inflow and decides both the short-term and longer-term implications.
Typically following “shock-event” sell-offs, markets enter a period of “repair” which may take days/weeks to work through. (Or just hours in this algorithmic marketplace!)
Be on Alert for more Trump Tape Bombs!
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6630+-, initially targets 6655 – 6675zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6630+-, initially targets 6610 – 6595 zone.
PVA High Edge = 6806 PVA Low Edge = 6654 Prior POC = 6792
ESZ
Nasdaq (NQ)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 1: Nasdaq futures declined by 1229.50 points on Friday, October 10, 2025. The significant drop in Nasdaq futures and the overall market on October 10 was driven primarily by an escalation in U.S.-China trade tensions. Several financial news outlets, including CNBC, Yahoo Finance, and MarketWatch, reported that the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite sank around 3.6% on Friday, its worst daily performance since April.
Key drivers behind the market reaction:
Tariff threats: The sell-off was sparked by a social media post from President Donald Trump threatening a “massive increase” in tariffs on Chinese goods. This came after China moved to restrict exports of critical rare-earth minerals, which are essential for manufacturing high-tech products
Intraday sell-off: The Nasdaq had even touched a new all-time intraday high before President Trump’s post, indicating a sudden and dramatic shift in market sentiment. The decline accelerated into the market close, with declining issues significantly outnumbering advancing issues on the Nasdaq exchange.
The magnitude of the decline, coupled with a larger sell-off across the Dow Jones and S&P 500, suggests that renewed trade war concerns had a profound and immediate impact on market stability and investor confidence.
Range for this session was 1229 handles on 914k contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2
Transition into Cycle Day 2: Normally for CD2 we are anticipating some consolidation MATD rhythms to begin the session. BUT current action is abhorrent, so we’ll need to stay laser focused with risk-management.
Expect elevated volatility (i.e. wide swings) until the markets absorb the recent information inflow and decides both the short-term and longer-term implications.
Be on Alert for more Trump Tape Bombs!
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 24555+-, initially targets 24680 – 24735 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 24555+-, initially targets 24440 – 2420 zone.
PVA High Edge = 25386 PVA Low Edge = 24681 Prior POC = 25336
NQZ
Economic Calendar
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.
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